Risk & transparency

We'd rather scare you off than let you down.

Trading carries real risk. Before you subscribe to any signal service, ours or anyone else's, you should understand exactly what you are getting into. This page is the part of the site written to be read slowly.

Realistic drawdown in a bad regime
20 to 40%
Backtests assume slippage of
0
Trades we place for you
0
Returns guaranteed
None
Not a fundWe never hold your money or your positions
Not adviceNot a registered adviser; nothing here is a recommendation
Not live resultsEvery published figure is a simulation
Your decisionEvery order is yours to place, or not

The actual risks

Six things that can go wrong.

Systematic strategies have advantages over discretionary trading, but they are not risk-free. These are the real failure modes, explained honestly.

  1. 01
    Drawdowns are inevitableThe one that ends most subscriptions

    Every strategy, however well backtested, goes through periods of losses. A 20 to 40% drawdown from the peak is realistic during a bad market regime. You need to be prepared to hold through those periods, not panic-sell.

  2. 02
    Backtests overstatePerfect fills do not exist

    Historical simulations assume perfect execution: no slippage, no partial fills, no market impact. Live results will be worse, especially in low-liquidity instruments or during volatile opens.

  3. 03
    Regimes changeWhat worked can stop working

    AlphaTrading excels in trending markets. ATSB needs sustained momentum to generate high scores. Extended sideways or choppy markets reduce signal quality, and no backtest fully captures that.

  4. 04
    You execute the tradesWe are not a fund

    Sheylar Global sends signals via Telegram. You decide whether to act, how much capital to use, and which broker to use. We are not a fund, not a fiduciary, and not responsible for your trading decisions.

  5. 05
    Leveraged ETFs decaySOXL and TQQQ in particular

    ATSB watches 3× leveraged instruments. Leveraged ETFs suffer from volatility decay over time and are not designed for indefinite holds. The bot's exit logic accounts for this, but the risk is real.

  6. 06
    Technical failureBots, APIs and messaging

    Bots can fail. APIs can go down. Telegram messages can be delayed. We monitor uptime, but we cannot guarantee 100% delivery or execution. Always confirm your positions in your own broker account.

Our commitments

What we do, and don't.

Each of these is checkable against what you actually receive.

What we do

  • Run systematic, rule-based bots with no emotional overrides
  • Backtest every parameter before deploying anything live
  • Disclose every rule, every parameter, every metric publicly
  • Send clear, actionable Telegram signals once a day
  • Monitor bot uptime and notify subscribers of any disruption
  • Update strategies when evidence demands it, never to chase returns

What we don't

  • Guarantee any level of return or performance
  • Manage your money or hold positions on your behalf
  • Provide personalised financial or investment advice
  • Override signals on news, opinion or gut feeling
  • Hide losing periods or cherry-pick our best results
  • Accept responsibility for trades you choose to execute

Important legal notice

Read this as written.

Things people ask before subscribing

Do I need a specific broker to follow the signals?

No. Any brokerage that supports the instruments on the watchlist will work; most US retail brokers cover all of them. You are responsible for execution.

What if I miss a signal?

Each message includes the full rationale for the signal. If you miss the entry window, don't force the trade: the next opportunity will come. Chasing missed entries is one of the most common sources of underperformance.

How much capital do I need?

There is no minimum, but sizing is percentage-based, so smaller accounts receive proportionally smaller share counts. The strategy maths works at any size; transaction costs matter more at small sizes.

Should I follow every signal?

The bots are designed to be followed systematically; overriding individual signals defeats the purpose of a rules-based system. You always retain the right to skip any signal. The risk is that selective following changes your actual returns versus the backtest.

Read enough? Then decide.

If the drawdowns above are acceptable to you, the rules are published and the simulators are free. If they are not, that is a fine reason not to subscribe, and we would rather you didn't.

See pricing Run your own backtest first

Cancel from your dashboard at any time.